Browsing Bergen Open Research Archive by Author "Hermanson, Leon"

Now showing items 1-3 of 3

    • Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP) 

      Smith, Doug M.; Gillett, Nathan P.; Simpson, Isla R.; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Baehr, Johanna; Bethke, Ingo; Bilge, Tarkan Aslan; Bonnet, Rémy; Boucher, Olivier; Findell, Kirsten L.; Gastineau, Guillaume; Gualdi, Silvio; Hermanson, Leon; Leung, L. Ruby; Mignot, Juliette; Müller, Wolfgang A.; Osprey, Scott; Otterå, Odd Helge; Persad, Geeta G.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schmidt, Gavin A.; Shiogama, Hideo; Sutton, Rowan T.; Swingedouw, Didier; Yang, Shuting; Zhou, Tianjun; Ziehn, Tilo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      Multi-annual to decadal changes in climate are accompanied by changes in extreme events that cause major impacts on society and severe challenges for adaptation. Early warnings of such changes are now potentially possible ...

    • Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre 

      Polkova, Iuliia; Swingedouw, Didier; Hermanson, Leon; Köhl, Armin; Stammer, Detlef; Smith, Doug; Kröger, Jürgen; Bethke, Ingo; Yang, Xiaosong; Zhang, Liping; Nicolì, Dario; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Karami, Mehdi Pasha; Pankatz, Klaus; Pohlmann, Holger; Wu, Bo; Bilbao, Roberto; Ortega, Pablo; Yang, Shuting; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Merryfield, William; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki; Imada, Yukiko; Ishii, Masayoshi; Matear, Richard J. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Due to large northward heat transport, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) strongly affects the climate of various regions. Its internal variability has been shown to be predictable decades ahead within ...

    • WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update A Prediction for 2021-25 

      Hermanson, Leon; Smith, Doug; Seabrook, Melissa; Bilbao, Roberto; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Tourigny, Etienne; Lapin, Vladimir; Kharin, Viatcheslav V.; Merryfield, William J.; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Athanasiadis, Panos; Nicoli, Dario; Gualdi, Silvio; Dunstone, Nick; Eade, Rosie; Scaife, Adam; Collier, Mark; O'Kane, Terence; Kitsios, Vassili; Sandery, Paul; Pankatz, Klaus; Früh, Barbara; Pohlmann, Holger; Müller, Wolfgang; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki; Ishii, Masayoshi; Imada, Yukiko; Kruschke, Tim; Koenigk, Torben; Karami, Mehdi Pasha; Yang, Shuting; Tian, Tian; Zhang, Liping; Delworth, Tom; Yang, Xiaosong; Zeng, Fanrong; Wang, Yiguo; Counillon, Francois Stephane; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Bethke, Ingo; Lean, Judith; Luterbacher, Jürg; Kolli, Rupa Kumar; Kumar, Arun (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2022)
      As climate change accelerates, societies and climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors cannot continue to rely on the past as a guide to possible future climate hazards. Operational decadal predictions offer the potential ...